Rosalyn Campbell and her husband, Calvin, are waiting for what may be the most in-demand item on the planet: the COVID-19 vaccine.

They both caught the virus in November; Calvin Campbell tested positive just days after he’d been released from the hospital following open heart surgery.

After a week in the hospital, he went back to his job as a buildings and grounds engineer, where he’s on light duty. But Rosalyn Campbell, who also has a heart condition, remains anxious. 

 “I’ve got to have it. … I want this behind me,” said Campbell, who retired from FedEx in 2013.

But it may be March before the couple, who are both Black and 65, are eligible to get the vaccine, based on the state’s age-based vaccination plan. Tennessee, like most states, gave first priority to people 75 and over, following the advice of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

As the virus’s death toll climbs to more than 460,000 nationwide, policymakers around the country struggle to inject equity into vaccination policies. 

Rosalyn Campbell and her husband Calvin at their 45th high school class reunion in 2018. Photo courtesy of Rosalyn Campbell. 

Putting the oldest people at the front of the vaccine line seems like an obvious choice, because more than half of the country’s COVID deaths have been people over 75. Setting the initial threshold at 75, however, ignores the fact that a smaller share of Black people reach that age than white people. It also doesn’t account for the Brookings Institution research showing that Black people who die of COVID-19 are, on average, about 10 years younger than white victims. (Shelby County data bears this out as well.)

“If you [allocate the vaccine] strictly by age, you’re going to vaccinate white people who have lower risks before you vaccinate Black people with higher risks,” said Sarah Reber, co-author of the Brookings research and associate public policy professor at the UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs.

“If you’re trying to avert deaths, you would want to vaccinate Blacks who are about 10 years younger than whites.”

Researchers say the pandemic will lower life expectancies nationwide, which will only make the Black-white life-expectancy gap grow.

Before the pandemic, Black county residents, on average, were expected to live to be 73 years and four months old, compared to 78 years and one month for white residents. Black people are 54% of the county’s population, but only 39% of residents 75 and up.

Shelby County’s poverty rate is 25% higher than the state’s, and the residents who live below the poverty line are concentrated inside Memphis city limits.

Shelby County residents who are 75 and older are disproportionately white. 

Source: American Community Survey, 2019

Data from around the country — and from cities such as Washington, D.C., and Chicago — make it clear that shots aren’t getting into the arms in the neighborhoods where COVID hit hardest. The latest national government data shows that when the race of the person getting the vaccine is known, Black residents are underrepresented; just over 5% of vaccine recipients were Black, compared to just over 60% who were white. By contrast, about 12% of the U.S. population is Black and 60% is white.

The population of Shelby County is 54% Black and 35% white. As of Feb. 6, 22% of Shelby County vaccine recipients are Black, compared to 43% who are white. (Around 16% are categorized as “Other/Multiracial/Asian,” while the remaining 18% or so are unknown). 

Experts say the imbalance is due to several factors, including poor internet access, lack of transportation and distrust of the medical system caused by racist practices such as the federal government’s Tuskegee syphilis study.

The distrust shows up in a recent Kaiser Family Foundation survey: A far higher share of Black people than white say they prefer to wait and see how the vaccine works before receiving it. (The same share of white and Black people — 14% — say they definitely won’t get vaccinated.)

COVID-19 kills a higher share of Black residents 65-74 than white residents

Source: American Community Survey, 2019, Shelby County Health Department. Note: The health department did not have race information for 10 of the 315 people in this age bracket who have died of COVID-19.

But strict age cutoffs also play a role. Calculating the impact of those cutoffs is difficult because as more doses become available, the age threshold will move to younger people. Last week, the Shelby County Health Department started vaccinating people 70 and over. But that won’t fix the problems built into the age-based system. 

According to the Tennessee Department of Health, Black residents of Shelby County have higher rates of infections, hospitalizations and deaths than white residents. Among residents between 65 and 74 whose race is known, Black people are overrepresented in COVID-19 fatalities, according to the SCHD, making up 67% of deaths in that age range, compared to 28% for white residents, as of Jan. 31. 

The tricky balance of efficiency and equity

Retired nurse Brenda Echols receives the COVID-19 vaccine at a Whitehaven vaccination site opened by the  Shelby County Health Department after complaints that vaccination sites were not located in majority-Black neighborhoods. Echols, 70, and her husband were vaccinated a couple days after the age threshold was lowered to 70 and older. Photo by Andrea Morales for MLK50

From the start of the pandemic, it has been clear how much harder communities of color have been hit. Late last month, two senators and a congresswoman from Massachusetts, all Democrats, sent a letter to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. “It is critical that the federal government’s vaccine deployment campaign does not fail the communities that have been forced to shoulder the greatest burden,” it read.

But addressing that in the vaccination rollout plan proved difficult. Reporting by MLK50 and ProPublica opens a window on those debates. The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, a CDC group of vaccine experts and medical and public health experts, developed the national framework for vaccine approval and distribution. An ACIP work group decided in November to ground their work in four ethical principles: Maximize benefits and minimize harms, promote justice, mitigate health inequities, and promote transparency.

Meeting minutes reveal that ACIP examined data showing Black and Hispanic/Latino people are disproportionately hospitalized for and die from COVID-19. They’re also overrepresented in essential occupations, where opportunities for exposure are more common, and underrepresented in older age groups

Questions about how to handle race and ethnicity came up  at the group’s June meeting. “How should racial and ethnic groups at high risk for severe COVID-19 be prioritized? Should race and ethnicity be a criterion for vaccine prioritization?” read the June meeting summary

Four months later, ACIP answered its own questions. “It is critical for ACIP to address equity and disproportionate impact on disadvantaged populations,” reads the October meeting summary. But, the notes continue, “approaching this from a race/ethnicity standpoint is probably not the best approach.” 

Pushing one group to the front inevitably pushes others to the back. It’s not clear if it would be legal for the government to set different age cutoffs by race, experts say. And it probably would be a political disaster and a logistical nightmare. 

“In general our country is very reluctant to encode racial categories into law,” said Elizabeth Wrigley-Field, assistant professor of sociology at the University of Minnesota. Wrigley-Field, who is not on the ACIP committee, recently published research on racial inequality and life expectancy that suggests racism may be as deadly as the pandemic.

Some communities tried more race-specific solutions for vaccine distribution, but the blowback was swift.

After data showed residents in affluent and predominantly white neighborhoods were the primary vaccine recipients, the Dallas, Texas, County Commission decided to target the most vulnerable ZIP codes.

The very next day, Texas health officials said  that the state would shrink the county’s vaccine allocation unless it abandoned the plan. The county did. 

Tennessee’s vaccination plan states that “equity remains a crosscutting consideration.” The state sets aside 5% of its weekly vaccine allocation for counties, including Shelby, that rank high on the CDC’s social vulnerability index, which includes race as one of 15 factors. 

“This allows those counties to vaccinate more people more quickly and move ahead in the phases,” said Tennessee Department of Health spokesperson Bill Christian in an email. He didn’t answer questions about how many doses Shelby County receives. Those numbers have not been made public.

Although ACIP and the CDC recommended the social vulnerability index as a substitute for race, that was a mistake, said Dr. Uché Blackstock, an emergency physician and CEO and founder of Advancing Health Equity, which works with health care institutions to address health inequities.

“That was an opportunity for the federal advisory committee to really make a statement about how racism has essentially created environments and limited opportunities,” she said. “Racism so explicitly harms Black people, but then in terms of addressing that and mitigating the impact of racism, we cannot use race explicitly.”

The Shelby County divide

Researchers from the University of Southern California and Princeton say COVID-19 will lower the country’s life expectancy by more than a year.  But for Black residents, it will drop by more than five years, wiping away 15 years of progress in reducing the gap. 

On a neighborhood level, the life expectancy gaps are even more stark. Even pre-COVID-19, the gap between a virtually all-white suburban census tract and a virtually all-Black one in Memphis stood at more than 19 years. 

The county’s census tract with the highest life expectancy, 84.6 years, is in the suburban town of Collierville, in a neighborhood where some street names — Scarlett’s Way, Rhett’s Way and Taraview — are inspired by “Gone With The Wind.”

Here the population is 96% white, the poverty rate is less than 1%, and the median household income of nearly $108,000 is twice that of the county.

More than 20 miles west is the neighborhood with the lowest life expectancy — 65.3 years. It sits in South Memphis, where a boulevard bears the name of a wealthy developer.

The census tract is 96% Black, with a 42% poverty rate and a median household income of less than $20,000, less than half of the county’s.

Campbell and her husband live about 6 miles away, in Whitehaven. In her neighborhood, the life expectancy is 74.5 years, just shy of the 75 and older age bracket that was first to get the vaccine.

Both Campbell and her oldest sister, retired educator Linda Williams, live in almost all-Black census tracts where the poverty rate is higher than the county’s and household income is lower. The life expectancy in Williams’ neighborhood is just 71.7 years.

Williams, 69, recalls fondly her pre-pandemic life. In the before times, she kept busy with water Zumba and water aerobics. Now, she exercises on a stationary bike that sits near a window so she can look outside. “Can’t go to church, can’t go anywhere,” she said.

Late last year, she lost a friend of 30 years to the virus, and she’s eager for the vaccine. “You see the numbers on the screen, but … it hits you different when you actually know the person,” she said. 

Struggling with equitable distribution and access

Of course, being eligible to receive the vaccine isn’t the same as being able to access it. And the vaccination rollout in Shelby County, as in other communities, has been troubled in ways that worsen racial inequities.

As of Feb. 1, 24 states, including Tennessee, publicly reported COVID-19 vaccination figures by race and ethnicity, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. As of Feb. 10, less than 7% of the state’s vaccine recipients were Black, compared to about 17% of the state’s population.

As of Feb. 6, Shelby County’s vaccination rates have been highest along the Poplar Avenue corridor, a predominantly white swath of town that starts at the Mississippi River and runs southeast toward the county’s more affluent suburbs. Rates are far lower in the largely Black and less-affluent ZIP codes north and south of the Poplar corridor.

Source: Shelby County Health Department

In January, the SCHD made more than 10,000 appointments available online two and a half days before the phone lines opened. By then, all the appointments had been claimed, boxing out those without internet access, who tend to be disproportionately Black, elderly and low-income. 

In late January, many people with appointments were turned away after waiting for hours. SCHD Director Alisa Haushalter apologized. “We recognize it was not what we want to deliver for the public and we’ll make adjustments to continue to improve,” she said during a press conference

As community leaders’ demands for equity have grown louder, the SCHD opened a drive-through vaccination site in Whitehaven. The Tennessee health department also partnered with Walmart pharmacies to expand access to “rural and underserved areas,” but only four of the county’s 11 Walmarts are in what can be considered underserved areas.

Cars queue up at the county’s Whitehaven vaccination site on the campus of Southwest Tennessee Community College. Photo by Andrea Morales for MLK50

Late last month the SCHD made the vaccine available at a Memphis commodity center, through a  federal program that gives healthy food to very low-income elderly residents. In Memphis, that population is mostly Black. Two residents told MLK50 and ProPublica that several of their white, affluent friends got vaccinated at the center.

Campbell knows of people who have skipped the line, and other residents have told MLK50 and ProPublica that they’ve seen ineligible residents get around the SCHD’s eligibility systems. Local news outlets have reported similar circumstances. 

No one wants to waste doses, said Dr. Grace Lee, an ACIP member, but equity has to be as important as efficiency. 

“We want to protect as much of the population as quickly as possible,” said Lee, who is also a professor of pediatrics at Stanford University School of Medicine. “But if you take a look at that alone, without also considering measures of equity, then what you focus on is potentially losing that balance.”

Without stronger federal involvement, “the problem is just going to get worse,” said Rachael DeCruz, chief of staff for Race Forward, a national organization that promotes equitable public policy.

Last month, a coalition of civil rights groups asked the Biden administration to create a White House office of racial equity and inclusion, which could help make sure the vaccine is distributed fairly. 

On a grassroots level, DeCruz also encourages people to organize and “not [let] up the pressure until we see some actual change.”

“If that started happening in Memphis and in places across the country in a really unified way, I think it could have a huge impact.”

Hannah Grabenstein is a corps member with Report for America, a national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms.

This story is brought to you by MLK50: Justice Through Journalism, a nonprofit newsroom focused on poverty, power and policy in Memphis. Support independent journalism by making a tax-deductible donation today. MLK50 is also supported by these generous donors.

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